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unclegoberthea
Dolar Mengabaikan ISM yang Lemah Saat Fokus Beralih ke Trump

[Image: 3863e7af5edf55314ce0fb7849536078.png] 
DXY Lebih Tinggi Meski Data Lemah

Dolar AS naik hari ini, meskipun angka ISM yang lebih lemah dari perkiraan kemarin. PMI manufaktur untuk bulan Juni turun menjadi 48,5 dari 48,7 sebelumnya, di bawah 49,2 yang diharapkan pasar. Yang juga penting, komponen harga turun menjadi 52,1 dari 57 sebelumnya, di bawah 55,8 yang diharapkan pasar. Ini adalah data terbaru dalam rangkaian data AS yang lebih lemah baru-baru ini, termasuk CPI, barang tahan lama, penjualan rumah, dan PCE.

Data Pekerjaan AS pada Hari Jumat

Minggu ini, FOMC minutes akan dirilis besok tetapi fokus utama adalah laporan pekerjaan Juni pada hari Jumat. Mengikuti angka yang lebih lemah pada pembacaan sebelumnya, kelemahan lebih lanjut kali ini akan meningkatkan ekspektasi pelonggaran pada bulan September, yang membebani USD dalam jangka pendek. Skala kejutan negatif akan menentukan reaksi pasar, tetapi dengan penetapan harga CME saat ini untuk pemotongan September di bawah 60%, ada banyak ruang bagi angka ini untuk melonjak lebih tinggi, menyebabkan reaksi negatif yang kuat pada USD. Sebaliknya, jika ada kejutan positif dalam data Jumat, peluang pelonggaran September akan menurun, mendorong USD lebih tinggi dalam jangka pendek.

Info selengkapnya disini: https://www.tickmill.com/blog/dollar-shr...s-to-trump
Kutip

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